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Review

Prostate Cancer

Editorial by Rahul Aggarwal on pp. 845

846 of this issue

Comparison of Abiraterone Acetate and Docetaxel with Androgen

Deprivation Therapy in High-risk and Metastatic Hormone-naïve

Prostate Cancer: A Systematic Review and Network Meta-analysis

Christopher J.D. Wallis

a

,

y

,

*

, Zachary Klaassen

a

,

b

,

y

, Bimal Bhindi

c

, Hanan Goldberg

a

,

b

,

Thenappan Chandrasekar

a

,

b

, Ann M. Farrell

d

, Stephen A. Boorjian

c

, Girish S. Kulkarni

a

,

b

,

Robert Jeffrey Karnes

c

, Raj Satkunasivam

a

,

e

a

Division of Urology, Department of Surgery, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada;

b

Division of Urology, Department of Surgery, Princess Margaret

Hospital, University Health Network, Toronto, ON, Canada;

c

Department of Urology, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN, USA;

d

Mayo Clinic Libraries, Mayo Clinic,

Rochester, MN, USA;

e

Department of Urology and Center for Outcomes Research, Houston Methodist Hospital, Houston, TX, USA

Article info

Article history:

Accepted October 2, 2017

Associate Editor:

Giacomo Novara

Statistical Editor:

Melissa Assel

Keywords:

Metastatic prostate cancer

Locally advanced prostate cancer

Hormone-naïve

Docetaxel

Abiraterone

Androgen deprivation therapy

Abstract

Context:

Randomized clinical trials have recently examined the benefit of adding

docetaxel or abiraterone to androgen deprivation therapy (ADT) in hormone-naïve

advanced prostate cancer (PCa).

Objective:

To perform a systematic review and network meta-analysis of randomized

clinical trials, indirectly evaluating overall survival (OS) for men treatedwith abiraterone

acetate plus prednisone/prednisolone with ADT (Abi-ADT) versus docetaxel with ADT

(Doce-ADT) in hormone-naïve high-risk and metastatic PCa.

Evidence acquisition:

Medline, Embase, Web of Science, Scopus, and Clinicaltrials.gov

databases were searched in August 2017. We pooled results using the inverse variance

technique and random-effects models. The Bucher technique for indirect treatment

comparison was used to compare Abi-ADT with Doce-ADT. A priori subgroup and

sensitivity analyses were performed.

Evidence synthesis:

Overall, 6067 patients from

fi

ve trials were included: 1181 (19.5%)

patients who received Doce-ADT, 1557 (25.7%) patients who received Abi-ADT, and

3329 (54.9%) patients who received ADT-alone. There was a total of 1921 deaths:

391 in the Doce-ADT group, 353 in the Abi-ADT group, and 1177 in the ADT-only

group. The pooled hazard ratio (HR) for OS was 0.75 (95% con

fi

dence interval [CI]:

0.63

0.91, I

2

= 51%, 3 trials, 2951 patients) for Doce-ADT versus ADT-alone and 0.63

(95% CI: 0.55

0.72, I

2

= 0%, 2 trials, 3116 patients) for Abi-ADT versus ADT-alone.

The indirect comparison of Abi-ADT to Doce-ADT demonstrated no statistically

signi

fi

cant difference in OS between these approaches (HR: 0.84, 95% CI: 0.67

1.06). Findings were similar in various a priori subset analyses, including patients

with metastatic disease. Bayesian analyses demonstrated comparable results (HR:

0.83, 95% CI: 0.63

1.16). Despite the lack of statistical signi

fi

cance, Surface Under the

Cumulative Ranking Analysis demonstrated an 89% probability that Abi-ADT was

preferred.

Wallis et al. Eur Urol 2018

g. 1

Forest plot for meta-analysis of combination therapy compared to androgen deprivation therapy (ADT) alone: (A) docetaxel plus ADT versus

T alone and (B) abiraterone plus ADT versus ADT alone.

i = abiraterone acetate; CI = confidence interval; df = degrees of freedom; Doce = docetaxel; HR = hazard ratio; IV = instrumental variables;

= standard error.

0.7

0.8

0.9

1

bility

E U R O P E A N U R O L O GY 7 3 ( 2 0 18 ) 8 3 4

8 4 4

841

Abi-ADT versus Doce-ADT demonstrated no statistically

significant difference in OS between th s approaches (HR:

0.84, 95% CI: 0.67

1.06; Supplementary Fig. 2). Network

comparable results (HR: 0.83, 95

the lack of statistical significan

showed that Abi-ADT had an 89%

Fig. 1

Forest plot for meta-analysis of combination therapy compared to androgen deprivation therapy (ADT) alone: (A)

ADT alone and (B) abi aterone plu ADT versus ADT alone.

Abi = abiraterone acetate; CI = confidence interval; df = degrees of fre dom; D ce = docetaxel; HR = hazard ratio; IV = instru

SE = standard ror.

[(Fig._2)TD$FIG]

0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

0.6

0.7

0.8

0.9

1

3rd

2nd

1st

Probability

Ranking strategies

ADT

ADT_Abi

ADT_Doce

Fig. 2

Surface Under the Cumulative Ranking plot demonstrating the probabilities of the rank order for each treatment

Abi = abiraterone acetate; ADT = androgen dep ivation therapy; Doce = docetaxel.